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1 Lyga · Lithuania

Minija vs Kauno Žalgiris II prediction and preview

2 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Minija WinOdds 1.20Market probability 76%Final score 5–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Minija host Kauno Žalgiris II in the 1 Lyga (Lithuania) on 2 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Minija Win — Minija to win. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Minija 5–0 Kauno Žalgiris II.

Going into the match, Minija had won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 27 and conceding 6. Kauno Žalgiris II had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 15 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Minija's last 10 and 6 of Kauno Žalgiris II's last 10; 9 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Minija averaged 2.55 goals scored and 0.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Kauno Žalgiris II averaged 0.56 scored and 1.67 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 3.11 goals from Minija and 0.68 from Kauno Žalgiris II. From that it rates a home win at 84%, a draw at 11% and an away win at 5%, against 76%, 15% and 9% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Minija (green) and Kauno Žalgiris II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form56% – 44%
Attack60% – 40%
Defence71% – 29%
Head-to-head60% – 40%
Goals67% – 33%
Overall strength67% – 32%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
MinijaWWWWW2.700.6040%90%
Kauno Žalgiris IIWWLWW1.601.5060%70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Minija Win76%1.20
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals75%1.24
Over 2.5 Goals63%1.50
BTTS No58%1.59
Minija 1st Half Win58%1.57
Minija HT & FT56%1.67
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals56%1.64
Over 10.5 Corners54%1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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