Minija vs Atmosfera prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Minija WinOdds 1.42Market probability 67%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Minija host Atmosfera in the 1 Lyga (Lithuania) on 31 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Minija Win — Minija to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Minija had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 12. Atmosfera had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Minija's last 10 and 7 of Atmosfera's last 10; 10 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Minija averaged 2.50 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Atmosfera averaged 1.45 scored and 1.64 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.27 goals from Minija and 0.98 from Atmosfera. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 14%, against 63%, 21% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Minija (green) and Atmosfera (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form53% – 47%

Attack59% – 41%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head60% – 40%

Goals60% – 40%

Overall strength59% – 40%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Minija	LLLWW	2.60	1.20	50%	100%
Atmosfera	WWDDL	1.50	1.40	70%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

20 Jun 2026 · Atmosfera 0–1 Minija

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	76%	1.22
Minija Win	67%	1.42
Over 8.5 Corners	66%	1.38
Over 2.5 Goals	63%	1.53
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	56%	1.67
BTTS Yes	55%	1.68
2nd Half Higher Goals	48%	1.94
Minija HT & FT	44%	2.10

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.