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Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mineros de Zacatecas host Cancún in the Liga de Expansión MX (Mexico) on 11 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mineros de Zacatecas 2–2 Cancún.
Going into the match, Mineros de Zacatecas had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 16. Cancún had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Mineros de Zacatecas's last 10 and 5 of Cancún's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mineros de Zacatecas averaged 2.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Cancún averaged 1.25 scored and 1.88 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.87 goals from Mineros de Zacatecas and 1.54 from Cancún. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 31%, against 44%, 28% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mineros de Zacatecas (green) and Cancún (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mineros de Zacatecas | LWWLL | 2.00 | 1.60 | 50% | 70% |
| Cancún | WLWDD | 1.90 | 1.30 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.