Milsami Orhei vs Zimbru prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.85Market probability 51%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Milsami Orhei host Zimbru in the Super Liga (Moldova) on 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.85, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Milsami Orhei 1–1 Zimbru.

Going into the match, Milsami Orhei had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Zimbru had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Milsami Orhei's last 10 and 5 of Zimbru's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Milsami Orhei averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Zimbru averaged 1.79 scored and 0.93 conceded across 14.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.84 goals from Milsami Orhei and 1.41 from Zimbru. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 49%, against 26%, 26% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Milsami Orhei (green) and Zimbru (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form44% – 56%

Attack53% – 47%

Defence40% – 60%

Head-to-head7% – 93%

Goals23% – 77%

Overall strength31% – 68%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Milsami Orhei	DWLWD	1.40	1.30	60%	50%
Zimbru	DLLWW	2.00	1.10	50%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

16 Aug 2026 · Zimbru 4–2 Milsami Orhei
27 Jun 2026 · Milsami Orhei 0–0 Zimbru
13 May 2026 · Milsami Orhei 0–1 Zimbru
6 May 2026 · Zimbru 2–0 Milsami Orhei
18 Apr 2026 · Zimbru 3–1 Milsami Orhei

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance X2	74%	1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	68%	1.33
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.38
BTTS Yes	53%	1.74
Under 2.5 Goals	51%	1.85
Zimbru Win	47%	1.90
Zimbru HT & FT	30%	3.10
Draw	27%	3.40

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.