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Super Liga · Moldova
Milsami Orhei vs Politehnica UTM prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Milsami Orhei host Politehnica UTM in the Super Liga (Moldova) on 11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Milsami Orhei Win — Milsami Orhei to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 52% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Milsami Orhei 3–3 Politehnica UTM.
Going into the match, Milsami Orhei had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 11. Politehnica UTM had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Milsami Orhei's last 10 and 5 of Politehnica UTM's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Milsami Orhei averaged 0.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Politehnica UTM averaged 1.50 scored and 1.88 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.18 goals from Milsami Orhei and 1.38 from Politehnica UTM. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 40%, against 55%, 25% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 31%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Milsami Orhei (green) and Politehnica UTM (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milsami Orhei | WLWDW | 1.30 | 1.10 | 60% | 50% |
| Politehnica UTM | LLWDL | 1.60 | 1.50 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · Politehnica UTM 1–1 Milsami Orhei
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.38 |
| Milsami Orhei Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.77 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Milsami Orhei HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.