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Serie D - Girone I · Italy
Milazzo vs Siracusa prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Milazzo host Siracusa in the Serie D - Girone I (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Milazzo 1–0 Siracusa.
Going into the match, Milazzo had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 12. Siracusa had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 8, with 12 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Milazzo's last 10 and 6 of Siracusa's last 8; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Milazzo averaged 0.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Siracusa averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.08 goals from Milazzo and 1.28 from Siracusa. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 40%, against 31%, 28% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Milazzo (green) and Siracusa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.76 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Siracusa Win | 41% | 2.20 |
| 0-1 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.