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Serie D - Girone B · Italy
Milan II vs Piacenza prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Milan II host Piacenza in the Serie D - Girone B (Italy) on 14 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.64, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Milan II had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 14. Piacenza had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Milan II's last 10 and 6 of Piacenza's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Milan II averaged 3.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Piacenza averaged 1.25 scored and 0.75 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.59 goals from Milan II and 1.62 from Piacenza. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 38%, against 31%, 27% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Milan II (green) and Piacenza (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.39 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.64 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Piacenza Win | 41% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.