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Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Spain
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Sevilla Atletico prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mijas Las Lagunas host Sevilla Atletico in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mijas Las Lagunas 3–1 Sevilla Atletico.
Going into the match, Mijas Las Lagunas had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 15. Sevilla Atletico had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Mijas Las Lagunas's last 10 and 5 of Sevilla Atletico's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mijas Las Lagunas averaged 3.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Sevilla Atletico averaged 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.94 goals from Mijas Las Lagunas and 1.37 from Sevilla Atletico. From that it rates a home win at 69%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 15%, against 37%, 27% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mijas Las Lagunas (green) and Sevilla Atletico (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mijas Las Lagunas | DWDDL | 2.30 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
| Sevilla Atletico | DLDWW | 1.20 | 1.50 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Mijas Las Lagunas Win | 36% | 2.45 |
| 1-0 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.