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FKF Premier League · Kenya
Migori Youth vs Police prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Migori Youth host Police in the FKF Premier League (Kenya) on 11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Migori Youth 1–1 Police.
Going into the match, Migori Youth had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 5. Police had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Migori Youth's last 10 and 5 of Police's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Migori Youth averaged 1.83 goals scored and 0.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Police averaged 0.86 scored and 0.43 conceded across 7.
The 1X2 prices imply about 21% for Migori Youth, 31% for the draw and 47% for Police once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Migori Youth | DWWWW | 1.40 | 0.50 | 40% | 40% |
| Police | LDDDD | 1.00 | 0.60 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.59 |
| Police Win | 47% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.88 |
| Police HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.