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III Liga - Group 3 · Poland
Miedź Legnica II vs Rakow II prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Miedź Legnica II host Rakow II in the III Liga - Group 3 (Poland) on 10 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Miedź Legnica II 2–1 Rakow II.
Going into the match, Miedź Legnica II had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 19. Rakow II had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Miedź Legnica II's last 10 and 6 of Rakow II's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Miedź Legnica II averaged 2.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Rakow II averaged 2.14 scored and 2.57 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.02 goals from Miedź Legnica II and 1.30 from Rakow II. From that it rates a home win at 72%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 13%, against 54%, 22% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Miedź Legnica II (green) and Rakow II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miedź Legnica II | WLWWW | 2.40 | 1.90 | 70% | 80% |
| Rakow II | WDWDL | 1.30 | 2.00 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.43 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.65 |
| Miedź Legnica II Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| Miedź Legnica II HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.