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2. Division · Denmark
Middelfart vs Roskilde prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Middelfart host Roskilde in the 2. Division (Denmark) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Middelfart 3–3 Roskilde.
Going into the match, Middelfart had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 15. Roskilde had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Middelfart's last 10 and 6 of Roskilde's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Middelfart averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Roskilde averaged 1.94 scored and 1.06 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.59 goals from Middelfart and 1.79 from Roskilde. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 42%, against 38%, 26% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Middelfart (green) and Roskilde (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middelfart | LWDDD | 1.50 | 1.50 | 70% | 50% |
| Roskilde | WWDWD | 2.30 | 0.70 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 Aug 2026 · Roskilde 1–1 Middelfart
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.