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USL Championship · USA
Miami FC vs Loudoun United prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Miami FC host Loudoun United in the USL Championship (USA) on 10 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Miami FC 0–2 Loudoun United.
Going into the match, Miami FC had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 16. Loudoun United had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Miami FC's last 10 and 5 of Loudoun United's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Miami FC averaged 2.08 goals scored and 2.08 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Loudoun United averaged 0.92 scored and 1.69 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.78 goals from Miami FC and 1.29 from Loudoun United. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 27%, against 53%, 23% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Miami FC (green) and Loudoun United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami FC | WWWWD | 1.50 | 1.60 | 70% | 70% |
| Loudoun United | DWLLL | 1.30 | 1.50 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.