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Friendlies · International
Mexico vs Chile prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mexico host Chile in the Friendlies (International) on 7 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mexico 0–2 Chile.
Going into the match, Mexico had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 9. Chile had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4, with 5 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Mexico's last 10 and 3 of Chile's last 4; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mexico averaged 1.89 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Chile averaged 1.25 scored and 2.00 conceded across 4.
The 1X2 prices imply about 58% for Mexico, 25% for the draw and 17% for Chile once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mexico (green) and Chile (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| Mexico Win | 58% | 1.57 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.