Home › League stats › 1. Liga › Metta / LU vs Riga Mariners
1. Liga · Latvia
Metta / LU vs Riga Mariners prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Metta / LU host Riga Mariners in the 1. Liga (Latvia) on 10 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.41, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Metta / LU 4–0 Riga Mariners.
Going into the match, Metta / LU had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 48 and conceding 10. Riga Mariners had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 28 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Metta / LU's last 10 and 8 of Riga Mariners's last 10; 9 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Metta / LU averaged 5.82 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Riga Mariners averaged 3.27 scored and 1.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.45 goals from Metta / LU and 1.38 from Riga Mariners. From that it rates a home win at 76%, a draw at 13% and an away win at 11%, against 62%, 19% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Metta / LU (green) and Riga Mariners (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta / LU | WWDWW | 4.80 | 1.00 | 50% | 90% |
| Riga Mariners | WLWWW | 2.80 | 1.60 | 80% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 May 2026 · Riga Mariners 2–2 Metta / LU
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.41 |
| Metta / LU Win | 63% | 1.44 |
| Metta / LU HT & FT | 45% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.