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Liga III - Serie 7 · Romania
Metalurgistul Cugir vs Cetate Deva prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Metalurgistul Cugir host Cetate Deva in the Liga III - Serie 7 (Romania) on 9 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Metalurgistul Cugir had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 18. Cetate Deva had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 7, with 14 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Metalurgistul Cugir's last 10 and 5 of Cetate Deva's last 7; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Metalurgistul Cugir averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Cetate Deva averaged 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.49 goals from Metalurgistul Cugir and 1.85 from Cetate Deva. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 28%, against 17%, 22% and 61% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Metalurgistul Cugir (green) and Cetate Deva (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metalurgistul Cugir | LWDLD | 2.40 | 1.80 | 50% | 70% |
| Cetate Deva | LDLDW | 2.00 | 1.86 | 71% | 71% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.23 |
| Cetate Deva Win | 61% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Cetate Deva HT & FT | 43% | 2.20 |
| 1-2 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.