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Liga II · Romania
Metalul Buzău vs ASA Targu Mures prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Metalul Buzău host ASA Targu Mures in the Liga II (Romania) on 10 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Metalul Buzău 1–0 ASA Targu Mures.
Going into the match, Metalul Buzău had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 9. ASA Targu Mures had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Metalul Buzău's last 10 and 6 of ASA Targu Mures's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Metalul Buzău averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home ASA Targu Mures averaged 1.18 scored and 1.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.88 goals from Metalul Buzău and 0.75 from ASA Targu Mures. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 13%, against 42%, 28% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Metalul Buzău (green) and ASA Targu Mures (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metalul Buzău | WWDLL | 1.30 | 0.90 | 40% | 30% |
| ASA Targu Mures | WDWLW | 1.50 | 1.70 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.45 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 1.95 |
| Metalul Buzău Win | 41% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.