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Second League - Group 3 · Russia

Metallurg Lipetsk vs Orel prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsNo price

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Metallurg Lipetsk host Orel in the Second League - Group 3 (Russia) on 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Going into the match, Metallurg Lipetsk had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 9. Orel had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Metallurg Lipetsk's last 10 and 1 of Orel's last 10; 6 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Metallurg Lipetsk averaged 1.83 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Orel averaged 1.08 scored and 1.69 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.18 goals from Metallurg Lipetsk and 0.56 from Orel. From that it rates a home win at 74%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 7%. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Metallurg Lipetsk (green) and Orel (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form65% – 35%
Attack75% – 25%
Defence100% – 0%
Head-to-head88% – 13%
Goals100% – 0%
Overall strength76% – 23%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Metallurg LipetskWWWDW1.700.9040%60%
OrelDLWWL0.501.2010%20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

More on this match

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