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Serie D - Girone C · Italy
Mestre vs Campodarsego prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mestre host Campodarsego in the Serie D - Girone C (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.32, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mestre 1–1 Campodarsego.
Going into the match, Mestre had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Campodarsego had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 9, with 15 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Mestre's last 10 and 4 of Campodarsego's last 9; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mestre averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Campodarsego averaged 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.38 goals from Mestre and 1.37 from Campodarsego. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 36%, against 56%, 24% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mestre (green) and Campodarsego (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mestre | DWDDW | 1.20 | 1.00 | 50% | 30% |
| Campodarsego | LWWLW | 1.67 | 1.00 | 44% | 56% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.27 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.40 |
| Mestre Win | 56% | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.83 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.87 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.98 |
| Mestre HT & FT | 36% | 2.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.