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Erovnuli Liga · Georgia
Meshakhte vs FC Iberia 1999 prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Meshakhte host FC Iberia 1999 in the Erovnuli Liga (Georgia) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is FC Iberia 1999 Win — FC Iberia 1999 to win. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Meshakhte 1–2 FC Iberia 1999.
Going into the match, Meshakhte had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. FC Iberia 1999 had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Meshakhte's last 10 and 4 of FC Iberia 1999's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Meshakhte averaged 0.82 goals scored and 2.45 conceded across 11 matches; away from home FC Iberia 1999 averaged 1.47 scored and 1.53 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.85 goals from Meshakhte and 1.58 from FC Iberia 1999. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 53%, against 19%, 23% and 58% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Meshakhte (green) and FC Iberia 1999 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meshakhte | DLDDW | 0.90 | 1.10 | 50% | 40% |
| FC Iberia 1999 | LWWWL | 0.90 | 1.60 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 Jun 2026 · FC Iberia 1999 2–1 Meshakhte
- 2 May 2026 · Meshakhte 1–4 FC Iberia 1999
- 11 Apr 2026 · FC Iberia 1999 2–2 Meshakhte
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| FC Iberia 1999 Win | 57% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.76 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.05 |
| FC Iberia 1999 HT & FT | 39% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.