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Azadegan League · Iran
Mes Rafsanjan vs Ario Eslamshahr prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mes Rafsanjan host Ario Eslamshahr in the Azadegan League (Iran) on 5 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Mes Rafsanjan to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.39, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mes Rafsanjan 1–0 Ario Eslamshahr.
Going into the match, Mes Rafsanjan had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 3 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 0. Ario Eslamshahr had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 0 of Mes Rafsanjan's last 3 and 3 of Ario Eslamshahr's last 10; 0 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mes Rafsanjan averaged 0.50 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Ario Eslamshahr averaged 0.57 scored and 0.43 conceded across 7.
The 1X2 prices imply about 33% for Mes Rafsanjan, 31% for the draw and 37% for Ario Eslamshahr once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mes Rafsanjan (green) and Ario Eslamshahr (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mes Rafsanjan | WDD | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0% | 0% |
| Ario Eslamshahr | WWLWD | 1.00 | 0.70 | 30% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.23 |
| Double Chance X2 | 68% | 1.32 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.45 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.55 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 57% | 1.64 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 41% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.11 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.