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First Amateur Division · Belgium
Merelbeke vs Mandel United prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Merelbeke host Mandel United in the First Amateur Division (Belgium) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Merelbeke 0–2 Mandel United.
Going into the match, Merelbeke had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 17. Mandel United had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 9, with 12 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Merelbeke's last 10 and 5 of Mandel United's last 9; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Merelbeke averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Mandel United averaged 1.50 scored and 0.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.93 goals from Merelbeke and 1.07 from Mandel United. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 37%, against 40%, 25% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 41%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Merelbeke (green) and Mandel United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merelbeke | DDLWL | 1.20 | 1.70 | 50% | 50% |
| Mandel United | WLLWL | 1.33 | 1.00 | 56% | 44% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.10 |
| Merelbeke Win | 39% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.