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Liga 3 · Georgia
Merani Tbilisi vs FC Iberia 1999 II prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Merani Tbilisi host FC Iberia 1999 II in the Liga 3 (Georgia) on 23 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.45, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Merani Tbilisi had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 20. FC Iberia 1999 II had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Merani Tbilisi's last 10 and 6 of FC Iberia 1999 II's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Merani Tbilisi averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.45 conceded across 11 matches; away from home FC Iberia 1999 II averaged 1.25 scored and 1.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.40 goals from Merani Tbilisi and 1.48 from FC Iberia 1999 II. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 38%, against 41%, 26% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Merani Tbilisi (green) and FC Iberia 1999 II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merani Tbilisi | WDDWW | 2.10 | 2.00 | 70% | 80% |
| FC Iberia 1999 II | DDWDD | 1.60 | 1.50 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 7 May 2026 · FC Iberia 1999 II 1–0 Merani Tbilisi
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Merani Tbilisi Win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.38 |
| Merani Tbilisi HT & FT | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga 3 matches that day
- Didube 2014 vs Gonio · 23 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Liga 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Kolkheti Khobi vs Guria · 23 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Liga 3
Published pick: Guria Win - Margveti 2006 vs Iberia 2010 · 23 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Liga 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Irao vs Dinamo Tbilisi II · 23 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Liga 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57