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Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 · Spain
Mensajero vs San Bartolomé prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mensajero host San Bartolomé in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Mensajero to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Mensajero 2–2 San Bartolomé.
Going into the match, Mensajero had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. San Bartolomé had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 9, with 11 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Mensajero's last 10 and 5 of San Bartolomé's last 9; 1 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mensajero averaged 1.14 goals scored and 0.14 conceded across 7 matches; away from home San Bartolomé averaged 0.75 scored and 0.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.69 goals from Mensajero and 0.92 from San Bartolomé. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 19%. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mensajero (green) and San Bartolomé (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mensajero | WWLWD | 1.00 | 0.50 | 20% | 10% |
| San Bartolomé | DDWWW | 1.22 | 0.67 | 56% | 22% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.