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A-League · Australia
Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 08:40 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Melbourne Victory host Melbourne City in the A-League (Australia) on 24 Oct 2026, 08:40 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Melbourne Victory had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 4. Melbourne City had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 9, with 13 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Melbourne Victory's last 10 and 4 of Melbourne City's last 9; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Melbourne Victory averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Melbourne City averaged 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded across 6.
The 1X2 prices imply about 38% for Melbourne Victory, 26% for the draw and 36% for Melbourne City once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Melbourne Victory (green) and Melbourne City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory | LWDDW | 1.30 | 0.40 | 20% | 30% |
| Melbourne City | LWLLW | 1.44 | 1.33 | 44% | 44% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other A-League matches that day
- Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland · 24 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · A-League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur · 24 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · A-League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40