Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners prediction and preview

1 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC · AAMI Park, Melbourne

The PunterPick prediction

Melbourne Victory WinOdds 1.42Market probability 67%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Melbourne Victory host Central Coast Mariners in the A-League (Australia) on 1 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Melbourne Victory Win — Melbourne Victory to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Melbourne Victory had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Central Coast Mariners had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 8, with 7 scored and 18 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Melbourne Victory's last 10 and 4 of Central Coast Mariners's last 8; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Melbourne Victory averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Central Coast Mariners averaged 0.71 scored and 2.29 conceded across 7.

The 1X2 prices imply about 66% for Melbourne Victory, 21% for the draw and 13% for Central Coast Mariners once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Melbourne Victory (green) and Central Coast Mariners (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%

Attack50% – 50%

Defence57% – 43%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals62% – 38%

Overall strength53% – 46%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Melbourne Victory	LDLWD	1.20	0.60	30%	30%
Central Coast Mariners	LDLLL	0.88	2.25	50%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	77%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	75%	1.25
Melbourne Victory Win	67%	1.42
Over 2.5 Goals	62%	1.53
Under 3.5 Goals	59%	1.57
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	58%	1.62
BTTS Yes	56%	1.70
Over 10.5 Corners	50%	1.83

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.