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Ligue 1 · Algeria

MC Oran vs ES Setif prediction and preview

8 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 65%Final score 0–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

MC Oran host ES Setif in the Ligue 1 (Algeria) on 8 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: MC Oran 0–0 ES Setif.

Going into the match, MC Oran had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 10. ES Setif had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 9, with 15 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of MC Oran's last 9 and 3 of ES Setif's last 9; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home MC Oran averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home ES Setif averaged 0.75 scored and 1.75 conceded across 4.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from MC Oran and 0.59 from ES Setif. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 16%, against 46%, 31% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between MC Oran (green) and ES Setif (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form67% – 33%
Attack38% – 63%
Defence100% – 0%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength51% – 49%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
MC OranWWWDL1.561.1144%67%
ES SetifWLLWW1.671.1133%44%

Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals75%1.25
Double Chance 1270%1.33
Under 2.5 Goals65%1.44
Over 1.5 Goals60%1.53
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals60%1.57
BTTS No59%1.53
MC Oran Win45%1.95
Under 1.5 Goals40%2.38

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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