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Ligi kuu Bara · Tanzania
Mbeya City vs Kagera Sugar prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 13:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mbeya City host Kagera Sugar in the Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania) on 9 Oct 2026, 13:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Mbeya City to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Mbeya City 1–3 Kagera Sugar.
Going into the match, Mbeya City had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Kagera Sugar had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 6, with 5 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Mbeya City's last 10 and 4 of Kagera Sugar's last 6; 1 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mbeya City averaged 0.70 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Kagera Sugar averaged 1.50 scored and 4.00 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.45 goals from Mbeya City and 0.89 from Kagera Sugar. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 22%. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mbeya City (green) and Kagera Sugar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mbeya City | LDWWW | 0.90 | 0.50 | 20% | 10% |
| Kagera Sugar | DLLLD | 0.83 | 2.33 | 67% | 33% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.