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Ligue 1 · Algeria
MB Rouisset vs USM Alger prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
MB Rouisset host USM Alger in the Ligue 1 (Algeria) on 8 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: MB Rouisset 1–0 USM Alger.
Going into the match, MB Rouisset had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 9 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 9. USM Alger had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of MB Rouisset's last 9 and 6 of USM Alger's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home MB Rouisset averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home USM Alger averaged 1.11 scored and 1.33 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.17 goals from MB Rouisset and 0.68 from USM Alger. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 20%, against 30%, 31% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between MB Rouisset (green) and USM Alger (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MB Rouisset | LWLLW | 0.89 | 1.00 | 44% | 22% |
| USM Alger | WWDDD | 1.60 | 1.20 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 May 2026 · MB Rouisset 1–0 USM Alger
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance X2 | 70% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.62 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 51% | 1.82 |
| USM Alger Win | 40% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.