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FKF Premier League · Kenya
Mathare United vs APS Bomet prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mathare United host APS Bomet in the FKF Premier League (Kenya) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mathare United 0–0 APS Bomet.
Going into the match, Mathare United had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 8 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 8. APS Bomet had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 7, with 12 scored and 2 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Mathare United's last 8 and 2 of APS Bomet's last 7; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mathare United averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home APS Bomet averaged 2.00 scored and 0.25 conceded across 4.
The 1X2 prices imply about 39% for Mathare United, 31% for the draw and 30% for APS Bomet once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mathare United (green) and APS Bomet (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathare United | WLWLD | 1.13 | 1.00 | 38% | 50% |
| APS Bomet | DWWWW | 1.71 | 0.29 | 29% | 29% |
Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 May 2026 · Mathare United 0–2 APS Bomet
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 66% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 59% | 1.54 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.63 |
| Mathare United Win | 35% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.88 |
| 0-0 | 17% | 5.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.