Matagalpa vs Walter Ferretti prediction and preview

15 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.60Market probability 57%Final score 1–5

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Matagalpa host Walter Ferretti in the Primera Division (Nicaragua) on 15 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Matagalpa 1–5 Walter Ferretti.

Going into the match, Matagalpa had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 20. Walter Ferretti had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 19 conceded.

Both teams scored in 2 of Matagalpa's last 10 and 8 of Walter Ferretti's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Matagalpa averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Walter Ferretti averaged 1.36 scored and 1.91 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.18 goals from Matagalpa and 2.68 from Walter Ferretti. From that it rates a home win at 14%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 69%, against 35%, 26% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Matagalpa (green) and Walter Ferretti (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form55% – 45%

Attack25% – 75%

Defence53% – 47%

Head-to-head71% – 29%

Goals63% – 37%

Overall strength48% – 51%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Matagalpa	LLWLW	0.50	2.00	20%	50%
Walter Ferretti	WDLDL	1.80	1.90	80%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

3 Aug 2026 · Walter Ferretti 4–1 Matagalpa
19 Apr 2026 · Matagalpa 4–0 Walter Ferretti

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	73%	1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.33
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	64%	1.45
BTTS Yes	57%	1.60
Over 2.5 Goals	52%	1.85
Under 2.5 Goals	48%	1.95
Walter Ferretti Win	38%	2.30
Draw	27%	3.40

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.