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Second League A - Division A Gold · Russia
Mashuk-KMV vs Dinamo Kirov prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mashuk-KMV host Dinamo Kirov in the Second League A - Division A Gold (Russia) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.47, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mashuk-KMV 1–1 Dinamo Kirov.
Going into the match, Mashuk-KMV had won 1, drawn 7 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Dinamo Kirov had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Mashuk-KMV's last 10 and 5 of Dinamo Kirov's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mashuk-KMV averaged 1.08 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Dinamo Kirov averaged 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.96 goals from Mashuk-KMV and 0.98 from Dinamo Kirov. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 33%, against 33%, 29% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mashuk-KMV (green) and Dinamo Kirov (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mashuk-KMV | DDLWL | 0.70 | 0.80 | 50% | 20% |
| Dinamo Kirov | WWWWW | 1.80 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · Dinamo Kirov 0–0 Mashuk-KMV
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.27 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.47 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.59 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.33 |
| Dinamo Kirov Win | 39% | 2.47 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.