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Ligi kuu Bara · Tanzania
Mashujaa vs Polisi Tanzania prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mashujaa host Polisi Tanzania in the Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania) on 8 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Polisi Tanzania to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mashujaa 2–1 Polisi Tanzania.
Going into the match, Mashujaa had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Polisi Tanzania had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Mashujaa's last 10 and 4 of Polisi Tanzania's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mashujaa averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Polisi Tanzania averaged 1.75 scored and 1.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.03 goals from Mashujaa and 1.29 from Polisi Tanzania. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 41%, against 33%, 29% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mashujaa (green) and Polisi Tanzania (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mashujaa | WLWLL | 0.90 | 0.90 | 30% | 30% |
| Polisi Tanzania | WLLWW | 2.00 | 0.90 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.