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Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 · Spain
Martinenc vs Montañesa prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Martinenc host Montañesa in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Martinenc 3–2 Montañesa.
Going into the match, Martinenc had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Montañesa had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 9, with 9 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Martinenc's last 4 and 1 of Montañesa's last 9; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Martinenc averaged 2.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Montañesa averaged 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.61 goals from Martinenc and 1.60 from Montañesa. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 37%, against 37%, 29% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Martinenc (green) and Montañesa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.31 |
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 49% | 1.84 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.15 |
| Martinenc Win | 35% | 2.45 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.