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Premier League · Malta
Marsaxlokk vs Zabbar St. Patrick prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Marsaxlokk host Zabbar St. Patrick in the Premier League (Malta) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals — more than 0.5 goals in the first half. It was published at odds of 1.32, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Marsaxlokk 2–1 Zabbar St. Patrick.
Going into the match, Marsaxlokk had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 14. Zabbar St. Patrick had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Marsaxlokk's last 10 and 5 of Zabbar St. Patrick's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Marsaxlokk averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Zabbar St. Patrick averaged 1.00 scored and 1.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.37 goals from Marsaxlokk and 1.07 from Zabbar St. Patrick. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 28%, against 50%, 26% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marsaxlokk | LWDWW | 1.10 | 1.40 | 50% | 40% |
| Zabbar St. Patrick | LDLDW | 0.70 | 1.20 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Jul 2026 · Marsaxlokk 0–0 Zabbar St. Patrick
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 78% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.45 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.69 |
| Marsaxlokk Win | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.95 |
| Marsaxlokk HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.