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Liga Nacional · Guatemala
Marquense vs Antigua GFC prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Marquense host Antigua GFC in the Liga Nacional (Guatemala) on 3 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Marquense 2–1 Antigua GFC.
Going into the match, Marquense had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Antigua GFC had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Marquense's last 10 and 5 of Antigua GFC's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Marquense averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Antigua GFC averaged 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.53 goals from Marquense and 1.11 from Antigua GFC. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 26%, against 46%, 26% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Marquense (green) and Antigua GFC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquense | WLDWL | 1.00 | 1.10 | 40% | 50% |
| Antigua GFC | LLWWW | 1.60 | 1.90 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Jul 2026 · Antigua GFC 3–1 Marquense
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.84 |
| Marquense Win | 46% | 1.95 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Marquense HT & FT | 29% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.