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Super League 2 · Greece
Marko vs Larisa prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Marko host Larisa in the Super League 2 (Greece) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Marko 1–0 Larisa.
Going into the match, Marko had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 8 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 9. Larisa had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Marko's last 8 and 5 of Larisa's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Marko averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Larisa averaged 2.22 scored and 1.33 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.36 goals from Marko and 0.81 from Larisa. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 21%, against 41%, 29% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Marko (green) and Larisa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.79 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Marko Win | 40% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.