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Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 · Spain

Marino vs Estrella prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsNo priceFinal score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Marino host Estrella in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Marino 1–0 Estrella.

Going into the match, Marino had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 21. Estrella had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with 7 scored and 9 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Marino's last 10 and 3 of Estrella's last 5; 8 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Marino averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Estrella averaged 1.00 scored and 3.50 conceded across 2.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.19 goals from Marino and 1.06 from Estrella. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 16%. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Marino (green) and Estrella (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%
Attack65% – 35%
Defence53% – 47%
Head-to-head64% – 36%
Goals65% – 35%
Overall strength63% – 36%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
MarinoLWDWL1.402.1060%80%
EstrellaWLDLW1.401.8060%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

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