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Serie C · Brazil
Maringá vs Floresta prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Maringá host Floresta in the Serie C (Brazil) on 10 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Maringá Win — Maringá to win. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Maringá 2–0 Floresta.
Going into the match, Maringá had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Floresta had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Maringá's last 10 and 5 of Floresta's last 10; 2 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Maringá averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Floresta averaged 0.80 scored and 1.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.46 goals from Maringá and 0.83 from Floresta. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 20%, against 58%, 26% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Maringá (green) and Floresta (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 Sep 2026 · Floresta 0–1 Maringá
- 28 Jul 2026 · Floresta 1–1 Maringá
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 60% | 1.53 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.60 |
| Maringá Win | 57% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.