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FA Cup · England
Marine vs Warrington Town prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Marine host Warrington Town in the FA Cup (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Marine to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Marine 2–0 Warrington Town.
Going into the match, Marine had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 13. Warrington Town had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Marine's last 10 and 6 of Warrington Town's last 10; 6 and 10 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Marine averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Warrington Town averaged 1.88 scored and 1.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.03 goals from Marine and 0.86 from Warrington Town. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 14%, against 51%, 25% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 86%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Marine (green) and Warrington Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marine | WWWLL | 1.50 | 1.30 | 60% | 60% |
| Warrington Town | DWLWD | 2.30 | 1.60 | 60% | 100% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 28 Jul 2026 · Marine 2–1 Warrington Town
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.45 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.76 |
| Marine Win | 51% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Marine HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.