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National League - North · England
Marine vs Spalding United prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Marine host Spalding United in the National League - North (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Marine 1–0 Spalding United.
Going into the match, Marine had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 12. Spalding United had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Marine's last 10 and 6 of Spalding United's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Marine averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.07 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Spalding United averaged 1.75 scored and 1.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from Marine and 0.76 from Spalding United. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 22%, against 36%, 27% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 39%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marine | WWWWL | 1.70 | 1.20 | 60% | 60% |
| Spalding United | WDLWW | 1.90 | 0.80 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.