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Second League · Bulgaria
Marek vs Beroe prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Marek host Beroe in the Second League (Bulgaria) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Marek to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Marek 3–2 Beroe.
Going into the match, Marek had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 10. Beroe had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Marek's last 10 and 4 of Beroe's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Marek averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Beroe averaged 1.17 scored and 1.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.21 goals from Marek and 1.02 from Beroe. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 29%, against 45%, 29% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Marek (green) and Beroe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| Marek Win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.