Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense prediction and preview

16 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.70Market probability 55%Final score 2–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Marcílio Dias host Figueirense in the Copa Santa Catarina (Brazil) on 16 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Marcílio Dias 2–2 Figueirense.

Going into the match, Marcílio Dias had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 15. Figueirense had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 6 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Marcílio Dias's last 10 and 5 of Figueirense's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Marcílio Dias averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Figueirense averaged 1.00 scored and 0.82 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.72 goals from Marcílio Dias and 1.26 from Figueirense. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 27%, against 40%, 28% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Marcílio Dias (green) and Figueirense (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form38% – 62%

Attack65% – 35%

Defence22% – 78%

Head-to-head60% – 40%

Goals44% – 56%

Overall strength45% – 54%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Marcílio Dias	DDWLW	2.00	1.50	80%	60%
Figueirense	WWWWD	1.30	0.60	50%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	72%	1.24
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	67%	1.35
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	67%	1.35
Under 10.5 Corners	56%	1.67
BTTS Yes	54%	1.70
Under 2.5 Goals	51%	1.85
Over 2.5 Goals	49%	1.95
Marcílio Dias Win	40%	2.25

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.