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Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · Spain

Marchamalo vs Tarancón prediction and preview

3 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsNo priceFinal score 2–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Marchamalo host Tarancón in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (Spain) on 3 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Marchamalo 2–2 Tarancón.

Going into the match, Marchamalo had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Tarancón had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 6 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Marchamalo's last 10 and 2 of Tarancón's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Marchamalo averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Tarancón averaged 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded across 5.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from Marchamalo and 1.33 from Tarancón. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 37%. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Marchamalo (green) and Tarancón (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form54% – 46%
Attack50% – 50%
Defence50% – 50%
Head-to-head0% – 100%
Goals29% – 71%
Overall strength44% – 55%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
MarchamaloLDWWW1.401.2030%40%
TarancónWWLLL1.800.6020%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

More on this match