Home › League stats › Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 › Marbella vs Real Betis II
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Spain
Marbella vs Real Betis II prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Marbella host Real Betis II in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Real Betis II to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Marbella 0–2 Real Betis II.
Going into the match, Marbella had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 18. Real Betis II had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Marbella's last 10 and 4 of Real Betis II's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Marbella averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Real Betis II averaged 1.50 scored and 1.17 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.79 goals from Marbella and 1.83 from Real Betis II. From that it rates a home win at 15%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 61%, against 31%, 29% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Marbella (green) and Real Betis II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marbella | DWLDW | 1.40 | 1.80 | 50% | 60% |
| Real Betis II | WWDWD | 1.70 | 0.70 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.68 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Real Betis II Win | 39% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.