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Liga Pro · Ecuador
Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Manta FC host Tecnico Universitario in the Liga Pro (Ecuador) on 10 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Manta FC 1–0 Tecnico Universitario.
Going into the match, Manta FC had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 17. Tecnico Universitario had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Manta FC's last 10 and 5 of Tecnico Universitario's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Manta FC averaged 0.69 goals scored and 0.77 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Tecnico Universitario averaged 0.50 scored and 1.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.38 goals from Manta FC and 0.94 from Tecnico Universitario. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 25%, against 43%, 29% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Manta FC (green) and Tecnico Universitario (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manta FC | WDLLW | 1.10 | 1.70 | 50% | 50% |
| Tecnico Universitario | DWLLW | 1.00 | 1.90 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Jul 2026 · Tecnico Universitario 1–0 Manta FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Manta FC Win | 42% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.