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Liga Pro · Ecuador
Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Manta FC host Deportivo Cuenca in the Liga Pro (Ecuador) on 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Manta FC had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 18. Deportivo Cuenca had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Manta FC's last 10 and 5 of Deportivo Cuenca's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Manta FC averaged 0.71 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Deportivo Cuenca averaged 0.44 scored and 1.38 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.93 goals from Manta FC and 0.68 from Deportivo Cuenca. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 24%, against 41%, 30% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Manta FC (green) and Deportivo Cuenca (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manta FC | LWWDL | 1.30 | 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
| Deportivo Cuenca | WDDDL | 0.70 | 1.10 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Aug 2026 · Deportivo Cuenca 1–2 Manta FC
- 19 Apr 2026 · Manta FC 0–1 Deportivo Cuenca
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 1X | 69% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Manta FC Win | 39% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Pro matches that day
- Orense SC vs Delfin SC · 24 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Liga Pro
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22