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League One · England
Mansfield Town vs Oxford United prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mansfield Town host Oxford United in the League One (England) on 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mansfield Town 1–1 Oxford United.
Going into the match, Mansfield Town had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 20. Oxford United had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Mansfield Town's last 10 and 6 of Oxford United's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mansfield Town averaged 2.00 goals scored and 2.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Oxford United averaged 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.32 goals from Mansfield Town and 2.25 from Oxford United. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 58%, against 41%, 27% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mansfield Town (green) and Oxford United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town | WLDDL | 1.30 | 2.00 | 60% | 70% |
| Oxford United | WDDWW | 1.90 | 1.20 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.