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Serie D - Girone H · Italy
Manfredonia vs Bisceglie prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Manfredonia host Bisceglie in the Serie D - Girone H (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.21, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Manfredonia 1–0 Bisceglie.
Going into the match, Manfredonia had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Bisceglie had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5, with 11 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Manfredonia's last 9 and 4 of Bisceglie's last 5; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Manfredonia averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Bisceglie averaged 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.70 goals from Manfredonia and 0.99 from Bisceglie. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 21%, against 38%, 25% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Manfredonia (green) and Bisceglie (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manfredonia | WWDDL | 1.33 | 1.00 | 56% | 56% |
| Bisceglie | WWLWW | 2.20 | 1.00 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.31 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.39 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.69 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.09 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.