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First Amateur Division · Belgium
Mandel United vs Spouwen-Mopertingen prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mandel United host Spouwen-Mopertingen in the First Amateur Division (Belgium) on 3 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.49, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mandel United 1–0 Spouwen-Mopertingen.
Going into the match, Mandel United had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 8 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Spouwen-Mopertingen had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 9, with 23 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Mandel United's last 8 and 5 of Spouwen-Mopertingen's last 9; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mandel United averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Spouwen-Mopertingen averaged 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.94 goals from Mandel United and 1.25 from Spouwen-Mopertingen. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 24%, against 39%, 25% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mandel United (green) and Spouwen-Mopertingen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mandel United | LLWLD | 1.38 | 1.13 | 63% | 50% |
| Spouwen-Mopertingen | WLWLD | 2.56 | 1.67 | 56% | 78% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.49 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.30 |
| Mandel United Win | 39% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.