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FA WSL · England
Manchester United W vs Liverpool W prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Manchester United W host Liverpool W in the FA WSL (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Manchester United W 1–0 Liverpool W.
Going into the match, Manchester United W had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 13. Liverpool W had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Manchester United W's last 9 and 6 of Liverpool W's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Manchester United W averaged 3.25 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Liverpool W averaged 2.50 scored and 2.00 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.26 goals from Manchester United W and 1.67 from Liverpool W. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 28%, against 47%, 25% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Manchester United W (green) and Liverpool W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United W | WWWDL | 2.22 | 1.44 | 67% | 56% |
| Liverpool W | WWWLD | 2.00 | 1.80 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.